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August 06, 2005
AL West Stat Roundup
I was out of town most of the week, so here's the statistical roundup for the West through August 5th.
| OFFENSE | TEXAS |
L.A. |
OAKLAND |
SEATTLE |
| Runs Scored | 589 |
504 |
524 |
476 |
| Average | .270 |
.267 |
.265 |
.259 |
| OBA | .333 |
.321 |
.334 |
.317 |
| SLUG | .474 |
.404 |
.404 |
.396 |
| Steals | 39 |
102 |
23 |
68 |
| Caught Stealing | 12 |
37 |
14 |
30 |
| RS+ | 105 |
99 |
98 |
98 |
| Team OPS+ | 104 |
92 |
94 |
93 |
As has been the case all season, Texas is the only team in the West with a solid offense. Remember that the "+" sysmbol indicates the statistic has been adjusted for the home park.
| PITCHING | TEXAS |
L.A. |
OAKLAND |
SEATTLE |
| Opp. Runs Scored | 563 |
434 |
463 |
500 |
| Average | .279 |
.252 |
.242 |
.269 |
| Opp. OBA | .343 |
.314 |
.311 |
.338 |
| Opp. SLUG | .433 |
.396 |
.386 |
.422 |
| Opp. Steals | 36 |
42 |
76 |
56 |
| Opp. Caught | 20 |
27 |
18 |
26 |
| Unearned Runs | 42 |
36 |
53 |
33 |
| Oppo. OPS+ | 101 |
91 |
85 |
108 |
| RA | 5.26 |
4.02 |
4.29 |
4.67 |
| Adj. League RA | 5.13 |
4.59 |
4.84 |
4.44 |
| RA+ | 97 |
114 |
113 |
95 |
| ERA | 4.91 |
3.67 |
3.83 |
4.48 |
| Adj. League ERA | 4.77 |
4.27 |
4.50 |
4.13 |
| ERA+ | 97 |
116 |
118 |
92 |
| ROTATION / BP | ||||
| Rotation IP/G | 5.64 |
6.28 |
6.19 |
5.86 |
| Rotation ERA | 5.08 |
3.82 |
3.96 |
5.14 |
| Rotation ERA+ | 94 |
112 |
114 |
80 |
| Bullpen ERA | 4.62 |
3.34 |
3.53 |
3.15 |
| Bullpen ERA+ | 103 |
128 |
128 |
131 |
Sure, the Texas rotation has collapsed, but check out Seattle, which has a higher ERA even ignoring park effects. Lost in the tatters of the Ranger rotation is a bullpen that has quietly approached respectability. Even so, they're well behind their division rivals and a faint whisper of their 2004 performance.
| PERIPHERALS | TEXAS |
L.A. |
OAKLAND |
SEATTLE |
| Runs per game | 5.50 |
4.67 |
4.85 |
4.45 |
| Expected R/g | 5.34 |
4.42 |
4.59 |
4.24 |
| Luck per game | 0.17 |
0.25 |
0.26 |
0.21 |
| "Lucky" runs scored | 18 |
27 |
29 |
23 |
| Runs/G | 5.21 |
4.02 |
4.29 |
4.67 |
| Projected Runs / G | 5.03 |
4.16 |
4.13 |
4.86 |
| Luck per game | 0.19 |
(0.14) |
0.16 |
(0.19) |
| "Lucky" runs allowed | (20) |
15 |
(17) |
20 |
| TOTAL LUCK | (2) |
42 |
12 |
43 |
Everyone in the West is scoring more than expected according to my magic formulae. Of course, I could be wrong, but my estimate of total runs scored and allowed for the league is very close to even.
| STANDINGS | TEXAS |
L.A. |
OAKLAND |
SEATTLE |
| Actual Wins | 54 |
63 |
62 |
47 |
| Actual Losses | 54 |
46 |
47 |
61 |
| Actual Win% | 0.500 |
0.578 |
0.569 |
0.435 |
| Pythag Wins | 55.9 |
62.0 |
60.6 |
50.9 |
| Pythag Losses | 51.1 |
46.0 |
47.4 |
56.1 |
| Pythag Win% | 0.523 |
0.574 |
0.562 |
0.475 |
| Periph Wins | 56.7 |
57.3 |
59.6 |
46.2 |
| Periph Losses | 50.3 |
50.7 |
48.4 |
60.8 |
| Periph Win% | 0.530 |
0.530 |
0.552 |
0.432 |
Texas continues to play nearly at the level of Oakland and LA, though you wouldn't know it from watching the product on the field lately.
| PARKS | TEXAS |
L.A. |
OAKLAND |
SEATTLE |
| Park Factor (OPS) | 1.07 |
0.99 |
1.01 |
0.95 |
| Park Factor (Runs) | 1.09 |
0.98 |
1.03 |
0.94 |
I decided that one-year park factors were too volatile (the Texas factor was actually pitcher-friendly until June, when the temperature shot up). These are factors from 2004 to present.
Posted by Lucas at August 6, 2005 12:25 PM