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November 08, 2009
Texas Pitchers' Rate Lines and Hitter Counterparts
Once again, I've turned every Texas pitcher’s performance into a comparable batter. Below are the opposing batting lines and percentages of homers, walks and strikeouts for every Ranger pitcher who pitched at least 10 innings. The three hitters who most closely match that line are listed to the right.
Just in case you're curious, I determined comparability by calculating differences in average, on-base percentage, slugging, homer rate, walk rate, and strikeout rate between each Ranger pitcher and every hitter in baseball with at least 200 appearances. It involves least squares, standard deviations and other ickiness. Two pitchers needed batters with fewer than 200 PAs: Feliz and O'Day. See below.
| Pitcher | Opposing AVG / OBP / SLG - OPS | Opposing AVG+ / OBP+ / SLG+ - OPS+ | HR% - BB% - SO% | Most Comparable Batters ('09 Stats Only) |
| N Feliz | .124 / .207 / .210 - .416 | 45 / 60 / 47 - 7 | 1.7% - 6.8% - 33.3% | Aaron Cunningham, Jair Jurrjens, Joe Blanton |
| D O'Day | .188 / .265 / .260 - .526 | 69 / 77 / 58 - 35 | 1.4% - 7.9% - 25.0% | David Dellucci, Johan Santana, Matt Downs |
| F Francisco | .214 / .276 / .364 - .639 | 78 / 80 / 82 - 62 | 3.0% - 7.4% - 28.1% | Bill Hall, Josh Fields, Jarrod Saltalamacchia |
| C Wilson | .234 / .325 / .326 - .651 | 86 / 95 / 73 - 68 | 0.9% - 9.9% - 26.0% | Koyie Hill, Chris Coste, Jack Hannahan |
| D Mathis | .244 / .297 / .363 - .659 | 89 / 87 / 81 - 68 | 2.3% - 5.8% - 14.5% | Kaz Matsui, Jose Guillen, Jody Gerut |
| S Feldman | .250 / .319 / .374 - .693 | 91 / 93 / 84 - 77 | 2.3% - 8.2% - 14.3% | Geoff Blum, Aubrey Huff, Jose Guillen |
| D Nippert | .245 / .324 / .372 - .696 | 90 / 94 / 83 - 77 | 2.3% - 9.7% - 18.0% | Elijah Dukes, Ryan Spillborghs, J.J. Hardy |
| T Hunter | .259 / .313 / .423 - .736 | 95 / 91 / 95 - 86 | 2.7% - 7.0% - 13.5% | Daniel Murphy, Vernon Wells, Stephen Drew |
| J Grilli | .216 / .321 / .412 - .734 | 79 / 94 / 92 - 86 | 1.8% - 12.4% - 23.9% | Chris Young, Clete Thomas, Jason Varitek |
| B McCarthy | .255 / .321 / .418 - .739 | 93 / 94 / 94 - 88 | 3.1% - 8.6% - 15.5% | Ben Francisco, Stephen Drew, Willie Aybar |
| TEAM | .260 / .331 / .416 - .747 | 95 / 96 / 93 - 89 | 2.8% - 8.6% - 16.5% | Ben Francisco, Aubrey Huff, Stephen Drew |
| K Millwood | .257 / .327 / .423 - .750 | 94 / 95 / 95 - 90 | 3.1% - 8.4% - 14.5% | Ben Francisco, Stephen Drew, Andy LaRoche |
| V Padilla | .286 / .360 / .419 - .779 | 105 / 105 / 94 - 99 | 2.5% - 8.8% - 12.4% | David DeJesus, Jorge Cantu, Adam Kennedy |
| J Jennings | .286 / .361 / .453 - .814 | 105 / 105 / 101 - 106 | 2.6% - 10.3% - 16.2% | Brian Roberts, Andrew McCutchen, Matt Holliday |
| E Guardado | .267 / .344 / .479 - .823 | 98 / 100 / 107 - 107 | 4.8% - 9.0% - 12.1% | Ian Kinsler, Paul Konerko, Brian McCann |
| D Holland | .288 / .346 / .510 - .856 | 105 / 101 / 114 - 115 | 4.3% - 7.7% - 17.5% | Michael Cuddyer, Casey McGehee, Torii Hunter |
| M Harrison | .316 / .376 / .500 - .876 | 116 / 110 / 112 - 122 | 3.2% - 8.1% - 12.0% | Aramis Ramirez, Scott Rolen, Michael Young |
| W Madrigal | .333 / .463 / .519 - .981 | 122 / 135 / 116 - 151 | 3.0% - 17.9% - 7.5% | Todd Helton, Carlos Beltran, Joe Mauer |
| K Benson | .340 / .421 / .598 - 1.019 | 124 / 123 / 134 - 157 | 5.3% - 10.5% - 9.7% | Joe Mauer, Pablo Sandoval, Miguel Cabrera |
Yes, Feliz's opposing OPS+ was 7. Seven! Both Feliz and O'Day so greatly stifled hitters that no batters with 200 appearances are really comparable. For them, I dropped the required plate appearances to 50. Two of Feliz's top three and seven of his top ten comparable opposing batters are pitchers:
1. Aaron Cunningham (OF)
2. Jair Jurrjens (P)
3. Joe Blanton (P)
4. John Lannan (P)
5. Kevin Correia (P)
6. Jed Lowrie (IF)
7. Chad Billingsley (P)
8. Johnny Cueto (P)
9. Diory Hernandez (IF)
10. Ryan Dempster (P)
Posted by Lucas at November 8, 2009 09:31 AM