« Galarraga DFA'ed | Main | Mexican Winter League Highlights Captured on Cell Phone »
January 26, 2008
Scoring the Soriano-Wilkerson Trade
Assuming for the sake of argument that Armando Galarraga is claimed and not traded, the book will close on the Soriano for Wilkerson-Sledge-Galarraga deal. This is one of those trades in which the emotional fallout dwarfs the actual on-field results. Recall that Soriano walked after 2007, and Washington didn’t even offer arbitration. Meanwhile, Wilkerson wasn’t completely useless during 2007, he just looked it.
| WIN SHARES | 2006 |
2007 |
TOTAL |
| Wilkerson | 5 |
11 |
16 |
| Galarraga | 0 |
0 |
0 |
| Sledge | 0 |
0 |
0 |
| TEXAS TOTAL | 16 |
||
| Soriano | 30 |
0 |
30 |
| WSH TOTAL | 30 |
||
| DIFFERENCE | -14 |
||
Texas win share deficit: 14 (about 5 wins)
| WARP | 2006 |
2007 |
TOTAL |
| Wilkerson | 1.6 |
3.4 |
5.0 |
| Galarraga | 0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Sledge | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| TEXAS TOTAL | 5.1 |
||
| Soriano | 7.8 |
0.0 |
7.8 |
| WSH TOTAL | 7.8 |
||
| DIFFERENCE | -2.7 |
||
Texas WARP deficit: -2.7 (almost 3 wins)
As for emotional and actual fallout, Texas quickly retraded Sledge with Chris Young and Adrian Gonzalez for Adam Eaton (aka The Wiz) and Aki Otsuka. I haven’t included that return in the above tables because Sledge was clearly a pot sweetener, not a lynchpin. Assuming he’s about 10% of the trade value, add two win shares and .9 WARP to Texas’s totals.
Let us not speak of these trades again.
Posted by Lucas at January 26, 2008 04:14 PM