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August 17, 2007
AL West Statistical Review
| OFFENSE | TEXAS |
LA ANGELS |
OAKLAND |
SEATTLE |
| Runs Scored/game | 4.82 |
5.04 |
4.47 |
4.92 |
| Park-Adj. League RS/Game | 4.95 |
4.93 |
4.54 |
4.70 |
| RS+ | 97 |
102 |
98 |
105 |
| AVG | .258 |
.283 |
.252 |
.283 |
| AVG+ | 96 |
103 |
96 |
107 |
| OBP | .323 |
.342 |
.334 |
.337 |
| OBP+ | 96 |
100 |
101 |
101 |
| SLUG | .419 |
.414 |
.401 |
.419 |
| SLUG+ | 99 |
98 |
99 |
102 |
| Team OPS | .742 |
.756 |
.735 |
.756 |
| Team OPS+ | 95 |
98 |
101 |
103 |
| HR Rate | 2.8% |
1.9% |
2.7% |
2.5% |
| HRrate+ | 108 |
80 |
115 |
98 |
| BB Rate | 8% |
8% |
10% |
7% |
| BBrate+ | 97 |
93 |
120 |
74 |
| SO Rate | 20% |
14% |
17% |
14% |
| SOrate+ | 83 |
121 |
103 |
115 |
| Steals / Caught | 67 / 17 |
112 / 41 |
45 / 16 |
64 / 21 |
The Rangers rank only 6th in homers, but a less hitter-friendly park means they're still above average in that regard. As has often been the case in recent years, Texas doesn't reach base at an adequate rate. Contrary to popular opinioin, the concept of Texas's terrifying offense died with the departure of Alex Rodriguez. If anything, the '07 version is the blander brother of '04 and '05, when Texas augmented its deficient OBP with huge homer totals.
Only Tampa Bay and Cleveland strike out more often than Texas.
| PITCHING | TEXAS |
LA ANGELS |
OAKLAND |
SEATTLE |
| Runs Allowed/Game | 5.33 |
4.38 |
4.31 |
4.87 |
| Park-Adj. League RA/Game | 4.95 |
4.93 |
4.54 |
4.70 |
| RA+ | 93 |
115 |
104 |
101 |
| ERA | 4.90 |
4.07 |
3.93 |
4.61 |
| Park-Adj. League ERA/Game | 4.53 |
4.51 |
4.16 |
4.30 |
| ERA+ | 92 |
111 |
106 |
93 |
| Unearned Runs Allowed | 63 |
45 |
49 |
39 |
| Opp. AVG | .276 |
.263 |
.254 |
.277 |
| Opp. OBP | .357 |
.325 |
.320 |
.344 |
| Opp. OBP+ | 107 |
96 |
98 |
103 |
| Opp. SLUG | .428 |
.407 |
.383 |
.422 |
| Opp. SLUG+ | 102 |
97 |
95 |
103 |
| Opp. OPS | .785 |
.732 |
.703 |
.766 |
| Oppo. OPS+ | 109 |
93 |
93 |
107 |
| HR Rate | 2.4% |
2.5% |
2.0% |
2.2% |
| HRrate+ | 104 |
112 |
138 |
118 |
| BB Rate | 10% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
| BBrate+ | 79 |
118 |
109 |
101 |
| SO Rate | 14% |
16% |
15% |
14% |
| SOrate+ | 91 |
115 |
105 |
96 |
| Opp. Steals / Caught | 67 / 36 |
80 / 21 |
89 / 23 |
57 / 24 |
Texas ranks last in walks allowed and 10th in strikeouts. The oppoing OPS+ of 109 is 13th in the AL, ahead of only Tampa Bay's crime against humanity (123 OPS+, .293/.363/.470).
| ROTATION / BULLPEN | TEXAS |
LA ANGELS |
OAKLAND |
SEATTLE |
| Rotation IP/G | 5.19 |
6.10 |
6.03 |
5.81 |
| Rotation ERA | 5.84 |
4.13 |
3.90 |
5.03 |
| Park-Adj. League Rotation ERA | 4.67 |
4.65 |
4.29 |
4.44 |
| Rotation ERA+ | 80 |
113 |
110 |
88 |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.56 |
3.93 |
4.00 |
3.83 |
| Park-Adj. League Bullpen ERA | 4.24 |
4.23 |
3.90 |
4.03 |
| Bullpen ERA+ | 119 |
108 |
97 |
105 |
Good bullpen, terrible rotation, forever and ever, amen. Tampa Bay's bullpen has a 6.52 ERA and a 65 ERA+.
| PERIPHERALS | TEXAS |
LA ANGELS |
OAKLAND |
SEATTLE |
| Runs per game | 4.82 |
5.04 |
4.47 |
4.92 |
| Expected RS/game | 4.72 |
4.94 |
4.70 |
4.89 |
| "Luck" per game | 0.10 |
0.10 |
(0.23) |
0.03 |
| "Lucky" runs scored | 12 |
12 |
(29) |
4 |
| Runs/G | 5.33 |
4.38 |
4.31 |
4.87 |
| Projected Runs / G | 5.31 |
4.63 |
4.31 |
5.04 |
| Luck per game | 0.02 |
(0.25) |
0.00 |
(0.17) |
| "Lucky" runs prevented | (2) |
29 |
(0) |
20 |
| Total Luck | 10 |
41 |
(29) |
23 |
The Angels are always lucky. Bastards.
| STANDINGS | TEXAS |
LA ANGELS |
OAKLAND |
SEATTLE |
| Actual Wins | 53 |
70 |
60 |
66 |
| Pythagorean Wins | 54 |
68 |
63 |
60 |
| Peripheral Wins | 53 |
63 |
66 |
57 |
After two months in which Texas appeared to have a better team than its actual record indicated, the Rangers' 53-67 mark now presents a depressingly accurate measure of quality. I did a double-take at the peripheral records of Oakland and LA, but Baseball Prospectus has them in the same order, albeit at 65 and 64 wins, respectively.
| PARKS | TEXAS |
LA ANGELS |
OAKLAND |
SEATTLE |
| Park Factor (OPS) | 1.00 |
1.02 |
0.94 |
0.97 |
| Park Factor (Runs) | 1.02 |
1.01 |
0.93 |
0.97 |
Unseasonably cool weather and plain old luck have made The Ballpark less inclined to destroy pitchers lately. Traditionally pitcher-friendly-to-neutral Anaheim has moved the opposite way.
Posted by Lucas at August 17, 2007 03:26 PM