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January 08, 2007

Run Scoring At Home And Abroad

Several Rangers have struggled to hit on the road, most notably Hank Blalock and the departed Alfonso Soriano, giving the Rangers a reputation as a poor road-hitting team. Failure to hit on the road possibly cost the team a division title in 2004.

This reputation no longer conforms to reality. Texas hasn’t achieved a .500 record during the last two years, but road hitting should not bear the blame. Indeed, last year a weak home performance contributed to an inexcusable losing record in Arlington.

The following tables show Texas’s abilty to score at home and on the road during 2003-2006. The AL average runs scored per game was adjusted for park and for home team. Irrespective of location, home teams tend to hit slightly better than visitors. All adjustments use one-year factors (no smoothing using multiple years of data), and figures are rounded. Note that The Ballpark reverted from “insanely hitter-friendly? to “reasonably hitter-friendly? in 2005.

RANGER HOME GAMES
2003
2004
2005
2006
AL Runs Scored per Game
4.89
5.01
4.76
4.97
Park Adjustment
1.22
1.22
1.08
1.08
Home Adjustment
1.01
1.01
1.02
1.04
Adjusted League-Average Runs Scored per Game
6.00
6.14
5.24
5.57
Texas Runs Scored per Game
5.93
6.06
5.79
5.28
Run Index
99
99
110
95

RANGER ROAD GAMES
2003
2004
2005
2006
AL Runs Scored per Game
4.89
5.01
4.76
4.97
Park Adjustment
0.98
0.98
0.99
0.99
Home Adjustment
0.99
1.00
0.99
0.98
Adjusted League-Average Runs Scored per Game
4.76
4.91
4.69
4.80
Texas Runs Scored per Game
4.27
4.56
4.89
5.02
Run Index
90
93
104
104

Posted by Lucas at January 8, 2007 07:00 PM