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July 13, 2005

AL West At The Break

PARK FACTORS
TEXAS
LA ANGELS
OAKLAND
SEATTLE
OPS 1.056 .966 1.000 .952
Runs 1.031 .944 1.061 .970

OFFENSE
TEXAS
LA ANGELS
OAKLAND
SEATTLE
Games
86
88
87
87
Runs Scored
476
420
400
377
RS+
112
105
90
93
Average
.272
.274
.264
.259
OBA
.332
.326
.336
.319
SLUG
.480
.419
.395
.392
Team OPS+
107
100
94
93
Steals
28
73
21
57
Caught Stealing
8
32
14
26

Texas outshines its division peers offensively, even when accounting for the hitter-happy Ballpark. The OPS+ of 107 would be the sixth-best in franchise history if it holds up, and the slugging percentage of .480 would be the best. It would be better if not for the out machines manning center and right field. Richard Hidalgo has batted worse than replacement-level.

PITCHING
TEXAS
LA ANGELS
OAKLAND
SEATTLE
Opp. Runs Scored
430
355
386
388
RA+
96
109
112
102
Opp. AVG
.277
.255
.244
.259
Opp. OBA
.340
.316
.315
.330
Opp. SLUG
.422
.400
.388
.407
Oppo. OPS+
99
96
89
103
Opp. Steals
30
35
67
50
Opp. Caught
17
22
14
18
-
-
-
-
-
ERA
4.78
3.79
3.95
4.24
ERA+
94
108
117
100
- - - - -
Rotation IP/G
5.71
6.22
6.01
5.90
Rotation ERA
4.71
3.85
4.03
4.87
Rotation ERA+
95
107
115
87
Bullpen ERA
4.86
3.53
3.72
2.96
Bullpen ERA+
92
116
124
143
-
-
-
-
-
Unearned Runs
25
22
48
28

Even with the recent chaos, Texas has fielded a fairly stable rotation compared to last year. Sadly, this has not resulted in improved performance despite the heroics of Kenny Rogers and Chris Young, as the 2004 rotation had an ERA+ of 98. The Rangers can survive a mediocre rotation, but they have no hope of winning without substantial improvement from the bullpen. The 2004 version was the best in the league; this year's corps is easily the worst in the division.

PERIPHERALS
TEXAS
LA ANGELS
OAKLAND
SEATTLE
Runs Scored / Game
5.53
4.77
4.60
4.33
Expected Runs / G
5.39
4.62
4.53
4.24
Luck / Game
0.15
0.15
0.06
0.10
Off. Lucky Runs
13
13
6
8
-
-
-
-
-
Runs Allowed / Game
5.00
4.03
4.44
4.46
Expected Runs / G
4.87
4.24
4.25
4.62
Luck / Game
0.13
(0.21)
0.19
(0.16)
Def. Lucky Runs
(11)
18
(16)
14
-
-
-
-
-
Total Lucky Runs
1
31
(11)
22

STANDINGS
TEXAS
LA ANGELS
OAKLAND
SEATTLE
Actual Wins
46
52
44
39
Actual Losses
40
36
43
48
Actual Win%
.535
.591
.506
.448
-
-
-
-
-
Pythag Wins
47.4
51.3
45.0
42.2
Pythag Losses
38.6
36.7
42.0
44.8
Pythag Win%
.551
.583
.518
.486
-
-
-
-
-
Periph Wins
47.4
47.8
46.3
39.8
Periph Losses
38.6
40.2
40.7
47.2
Periph Win%
.551
.543
.533
.457

Texas leads the Peripheral Amercian League West! Seriously, the Rangers can take heart that they're not playing any worse than Anaheim. Texas unfortunately cannot erase their five-game deficit with peripherals.

Posted by Lucas at July 13, 2005 11:42 AM